Showing posts with label Downturn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Downturn. Show all posts

Commonality between companies and individuals.


When i was publishing my previous article on How to retain talent I observed something; that commonality exists between the individuals and the corporate thought process, the way they think for a solution and the way they address a given situation.

To compliment this I will elaborate some examples Remember the Global economic crises. What did the big/small corporate did? All of them went for a head reductions without worrying about there future goals/launches, about there market share, competitors moves, strategic positioning of theirs vis-à-vis there competitors.

Companies started reverse engineering for cost cutting. Let me explain, management gave a target to departments/ functions to reduce cost by say 20% now it was the department/ functions head responsibilities to reduce that many head which will help them to achieve the cost cutting target. Doesn’t it sound funny?

In most of the cases company were already having expansion plans and some of them have already invested in expanding in certain technological areas, geographical markets and operations where there performance was far below industry the industry standards. With the wave of head reduction all this expenses turned to sunk cost recovering which is next to impossible and getting back on track with all the previous plans and strategy seems to be a difficult proposition.

As per my school of though if the companies would have invested in technology, human resources, expansion they would have reaped huge benefits today and days to come. But the companies did the opposite way and to retain the status quo it will take years because in business 1 month delay is 1 year behind.

Similarly individuals too took wrong decision during the down time. Stock investors were watching there stocks falling and did nothing, when the stock prices hit the rock bottom prices they simply stayed away from market and exited there holding as soon as the stock price touched there purchase price, fearing that the price may fall any time.

If they would have invested (in the same stock which they were holding) when the stock prices were @ there bottom prices they could have attained a breakeven much before and could have made huge profits.
Most of the investors were scared and didn’t wanted to put there money in any of the risky propositions, investors were sitting on cash but were not willing to invest anywhere, all the money from stock market either moved to bank deposits or lost its value. If they would have shown courage of investing against risk they would have earned huge profits.

On the contrary there was/is no prudent way in which the downturn could have been handled, individuals/ corporates responded in there own way which they felt is the prudent way.

Ken Thompson said “Long-term success is not only determined by how well a company/individual handles a downturn, but also by its foresight in preparing for the next upturn. In the midst of a recession, we are often forced to restructure and control expenses, but those who focus only on the immediate crisis may be left behind when better times return.”

Image souce bioteams.com

Promises that I have to keep.

From the very first day when the news of downturn appeared in newspaper and news channel I started to calculate many things. I was busy thought day and night watching many things simultaneously the US Presidential elections, Assembly elections in India and what the market analyst across the globe has to say about the fall.

After certain calculation I derived some conclusion and asked my wife to sit and listen to them. I firstly declared an assumption that I have made while calculation certain things. The assumption was that “Neither me nor my company is going to affect by the downturn”

With this assumption I promised her that I will purchase her all the luxurious that we have though of, a big house, a three boxer car, modular kitchen and lot many things for my kids and mom.

Well the thought process behind those promises was a well planned strategy.

My Dream House: With a global slowdown there will be an oversupply of everything in the Indian market and will push the prices south.
Property market will correct itself enormously because the spark in the market was due to the NRI’s investing dollars into the Indian market. Once they run short of money they will be sell there assts and there will be oversupply of housing in India.

Companies who were involved in big projects will find less buyer and pressure will appear on the prices.

Peoples who have blocked there money in assets anticipating that prices will appreciate will start selling their assets causing a further pressure on prices.

There will be at least some cases of defaults (sub prime crises. Though before the downturn the customers were prime customer but after downturn they became sub-prime and couldn’t pay there emi’s) which will force housing loan entities to increase there margin money and interest rates resulting in less availability of loan. So there will be low demand for housing and will create pressure on price again.

All the above sentiments will hamper the zeal of house buyers and at that particular time I will buy a house.

My Dream car: With Giant Auto makers filing for chapter 11 indicated me that my dream for 3 box car is not far away.


Post chapter 11 people will loose faith and interest in the products of those auto giants resulting a lot of stock lying idle in the backyards forcing them to bring down the prices; here I will enter as a buyer.
Companies will cut down the prices to recover the investment made resulting a pressure on the prices; here I will enter the market as a buyer.

Agencies will offer heavy discounts to clear there idle backyard stock and to reduce their cost of holding, here I will enter the market as a buyer.


The downturn will have a multiplier effect on all the things wherein one thing pulling down the second, the second thing pulling down the third one and so on.

I will have ample opportunities to purchase whatever I thought of.

But sorry to say that I defined and speculated the strategy well but couldn’t execute it out, there are n number of reasons of not putting those strategies in action. But the bottom line is that I have to fulfill my promises